AEO rates, retailer wins, and unclear answers explained
Read mentions, recommendations, first positions, win rates, question coverage, and purchase outcomes without confusing their populations.
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Always identify the unit and eligible populationCore ratesA mention is not a recommendation or a first positionRetailer wins, joint recommendations, and the purchase distributionWhy '0 unclear' and '65 unclear' can both appearA worked exampleConditional rates can exceed a broad mention rateRounding and comparisonsAlways identify the unit and eligible population
A rate needs a numerator, denominator, scope, period, and aggregation rule. An answer-level brand recommendation rate, a retailer win rate among decidable comparisons, and a share of purchase answers won by your shop are different quantities. Matching labels alone do not establish that AEO and Commerce Intelligence use the same underlying observations. Compare definitions and evidence before comparing percentages.
Core rates
The plain unweighted forms below explain the units. Some headline AEO rates apply configured question or model weights, so the displayed weighted percentage need not equal the raw supporting fraction. A missing assessment is excluded from an assessable denominator rather than being silently converted to absence.
| Metric | Positive outcome | Eligible base |
|---|---|---|
| Mention rate | Applicable identity is mentioned | Answers where that mention can be assessed |
| Recommendation rate | Applicable identity is positively recommended | Answers where that recommendation can be assessed |
| Retailer first-recommendation rate | Own shop holds the first supported retailer position | Purchase answers with an assessable retailer order |
| Retailer win rate | Own shop strictly outranks other recommended retailers | Decidable wins, losses, and ties |
| Question coverage | A question has at least one qualifying positive answer | Distinct eligible observed questions, not every repeated answer |
| Shop-link rate | A supported shop link accompanies the shop recommendation | Shop recommendations where link presence can be assessed |
A mention is not a recommendation or a first position
'Shop A sells accessories' can mention Shop A without endorsing it. A list of product brands does not establish retailer ordering. For first position, use explicit retailer ranking or an otherwise supported sole-retailer case. The first textual occurrence of a name, the first citation, and the first product heading are not automatically first retailer recommendation.
Retailer wins, joint recommendations, and the purchase distribution
A strict win requires the own shop to be ahead of the other identified recommended retailers. A sole own-shop recommendation can be a win; competitor-only recommendations are losses. When several retailers are recommended without a supported order, joint recommendation is observable while a strict win may be undecidable. A mutually exclusive purchase distribution applies precedence: strict own win, joint recommendation, competitor only, no clear retailer recommendation, then unresolved evaluation. A joint-rate metric can overlap other metrics, but pie-chart segments must not overlap.
Why '0 unclear' and '65 unclear' can both appear
Brand-status uncertainty and retailer-order uncertainty are different dimensions. Every answer might have an assessable brand mention while many purchase answers lack a defensible retailer order. The first card can then show zero unknown brand statuses while the win-rate card excludes many undecidable retailer outcomes. A clear label should state which assessment is unclear and which cohort it counts. If both cards claim the same dimension and cohort yet disagree, investigate it as a defect.
A worked example
The following artificial sample illustrates why a large brand-presence number and a small purchase-win share are compatible. It does not describe a real merchant.
Synthetic sample
100 assessable brand answers: 30 recommend the brand -> 30%
60 purchase answers: 3 strict shop wins -> 5% of purchase answers
20 decidable retailer comparisons: 3 wins -> 15% win rate
The 30%, 5%, and 15% answer different questions.
Do not label all three simply 'recommendation rate'.Conditional rates can exceed a broad mention rate
A category's mention rate may use all applicable category answers while recommendation or purchase relevance uses a smaller eligible subpopulation. A 50% rate from one of two eligible observations is possible alongside a lower broader rate. It does not mean a recommendation occurred without evidence. Inspect the relevant base and show a small-sample notice. Never reconstruct a conditional denominator by dividing unrelated rounded percentages.
Rounding and comparisons
A change from 20% to 25% is five percentage points and a 25% relative increase. These are different units. Raw counts, weighted values, and percentages rounded to one decimal can differ slightly after display rounding. A competitor rate from another module is comparable only when the identity, period, question cohort, method, weights, and eligible assessment agree.
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